Wednesday, November 9, 2016

A Historic Upset

A solid victory for Donald Trump. What a surprise.  At Clinton headquarters they are breaking down the stage, ignominiously abandoning the field. Hillary Clinton just called Trump to concede.

Cornell Belcher on PBS points out the polls predicted Hillary's share of the vote (47%) but the late undecided vote broke for Trump. She came in with high negatives: most people have never accepted her. The country rejected her in favor of Donald Trump. It must be incredibly painful for Hillary. 

It's hard to believe.  There will not be divided government. The Republicans have the House, the Senate, and the Presidency. The Supreme Court will swing right, not left. 

Married white men voted for Trump over Clinton by 25%.  A third of Latino men voted for Trump. Many black men and millennials voted for third parties. Third parties accounted for 4.7% of the vote. It looks like, at the end of the day, the protest vote for third party candidates hurt Clinton more than Trump. The country as a whole has chosen Trump over Clinton. 

It's a moment of change. It's the end of the Clinton battles; the end of the long hangover from Watergate. There will be a new beginning.

It's a moment of disruption. It's a moment of uncertainty. The government will be in Republican hands across the board. 

We'll see how much disruption will follow. Obamacare will be gone. Will Congress provide money to build a wall along the Mexican border? It's a public works project; it will provide jobs.  It will be like digging holes in the desert and filling them. It would be better to build high speed rail and fix roads. But it will provide jobs. 

What action will happen on immigration? On identifying and removing undocumented workers? How bad will it get? What will happen on foreign policy? The tone of the country will be very different. 

"I pledge I will be President for all the people in the land," says Trump. He was gracious to Hillary. He speaks of rebuilding infrastructure, doubling growth, "finally" taking care of veterans.... But the fantasy game is about to end. He and the Republican Congress will have to come up with actual policies to implement.  

Giuliani, Chris Christie, Jeff Sessions, Reince Preibus, General Michael Flynn, and the Secret Service. Here they come.... 

It's a historic election; it's a historic night. It's a sad night. The end of an era. 

1 comment:

  1. Last night was the season finale of "Trump: The Candidate". A surprise ending and a cliff-hanger. Season two "Trump: The President" starts soon. The reality TV show we cannot turn channels or turn off. As of right now, Clinton has a narrow lead in the total popular vote, but the electoral college is a winner take all system, and the Trump victory was convincing. Will congress cooperate with him? His program is different from tea party and speaker Ryan. What will be the role of the progressive opposition? Will thousands resign from government as Guilliani becomes Attorney General and one of the Trumps becomes head of Health & Social Services?